South Asia Analysis Group 


Paper no.265

29. 06. 2001

  

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COUNT-DOWN TO INDO-PAK SUMMIT--V

by B. Raman

The following political leaders responded to the invitation of Gen.Pervez Musharraf, the self-styled President and Chief Executive of Pakistan and its self-reinstated Chief of the Army Staff (COAS), and attended the so-called all-party meeting held by him on June 27 to evolve a national consensus on his forthcoming summit with the Indian Prime Minister, Mr.A.B.Vajpayee, Mian Muhammad Azhar, of the Pakistan Muslim League (Like Minded--PML-LM), which is anti-Nawaz Sharif; Asfandyar Wali Khan of the Awami National Party (ANP); Aftab Ahmed Shaikh, of the Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM); Qazi Hussain Ahmed, of the Jammat-e-Islami (JEI); Maulana Fazlur Rehman, of the Jamaat-ul-Ulema Islam (JUI); Sardar Farooq Ahmed Khan Leghari, of the Millat Party; Maulana Shah Ahmed Noorani, chief of the Jamiat-ul-Ulema Pakistan (JUP); Hamid Nasir Chattha, of the PML (Junejo); Dr Tahirul Qadri, of the Pakistan Awami Tehriq (PAT); Imran Khan, of the Tehriq-e-Insaaf (TEI); Dr Abdul Hayee Baloch of the Balochistan National Movement (BNM); Wasim Sajjad, former Chairman of the dissolved Senate, who belongs to the PML, but has kept away from the factional struggle; Allama Sajid Ali Naqvi, of the Shia Tehriq Jafria Pakistan (TJP); Mir Hazar Khan Bijrani, of the PPP- Saheed Bhutto SB, which is the party of the loyalists of the late Murtaza Bhutto; Air Marshal (retd.) Asghar Khan President of the Tehrik-i-Istaqlal, Maulana Samiul Haq, of the JUI-S opposed to Maulana Fazlur Rehman;Ajmal Khattak, of the Awami National Party Pakistan (ANPP); Elahi Bux Soomro, former Speaker of the dissolved National Assembly, who also belongs to the PML, but has kept away from the factional struggle; and Fatehyab Ali Khan of the Mazdoor Kisan Party.

The following did not attend for personal reasons: Ghulam Mustafa Jatoi, former Prime Minister and chief of the National People's Party (NPP); and Pir Pagaro, President of the PML (Functional).  The following rejected the invitation: Makhdoom Amin Faheem, senior Vice-Chairman of the PPP; and Nawabzada Nasrullah Khan, President of the Alliance For the Restoration of Democracy (ARD).  It is not known whether Hasil Bizenjo of the Balochistan National Party (BNP), who was also invited, attended.

It would be obvious from the above that :

* The PML of Nawaz and the PPP of Mrs.Benazir Bhutto, , which held the overwhelming number of seats in the dissolved National Assembly and the Senate, boycotted the meeting.  The leaders, who attended, either did not have any representation in the dissolved Houses or their representation was negligible.

* All the Islamic parties attended the meeting.  The Jihadi parties were not invited on the ground that they operate in J & K and have no presence in Pakistani territory.  However, Musharraf is planning to meet them secretly. He has already secretly visited the headquarters of the Markaz Dawa Al Irshad, the political wing of the Lashkar-e-Toiba, at Muridke on June 11.

* All the parties representing the non-Punjabi minorities, excepting the Sindhi nationalist parties, the Balochi parties of Akbar Khan Bugti, Khair Bux Marri and Sardar Ataullah Khan Mengal and the Pakhtoonkwa Milli Awami Party of Mehmood Khan Achakzai, which were not invited, attended.

It is learnt that during the meeting:

* The Punjabi and religious leaders, while backing Musharraf's initiative, insisted that any progress in the summit should depend on India accepting J & K as a disputed territory and the validity of the UN resolutions.

* The non-Punjabi parties strongly supported the summit and called for a political solution to the Kashmir problem, but made no reference to Kashmir as a disputed territory or to the UN resolutions.

* Except Maulana Fazlur Rehman, the other leaders of the Islamic parties insisted that the jihad should continue till India agreed to the implementation of the UN resolutions.

* Musharraf listened and took down notes without making any substantial comments.  He kept repeating that he would not agree to any solution, which was not in the national interest and which would not meet the approval of the Kashmiris.

An official announcement of Musharraf's office after the meeting said: "The political leaders unanimously endorsed the decision of the President and the Chief Executive to respond positively to the Indian invitation.  They assured him of their fullest support in his endeavours to resolve the long outstanding issue of Kashmir with India and prayed for his success.  They (politicians) informed the President that even though they did not expect a resolution of the issue in just one visit, they expected the Indian leadership to send out positive signals from the summit which could lead to the initiation of a meaningful process for the resolution of the Kashmir problem.  President Musharraf also assured politicians that he would take them into confidence on all important national issues.  The spirit and manner in which the political leaders had expressed their views reflected the unity of the nation on issues of national integrity, nuclear deterrence and national security."

After the meeting, the participants claimed that Musharraf reassured the politicians that as far as he was concerned, Kashmir would be the core issue in his talks with the Indian Prime Minister and everything else would follow.  The following were the individual comments of some of the participants after the meeting:

Farooq Leghari: "There was a very clear near unanimity of views that Pakistan needs to stick to its principled stand and seek peace with India.  It was a good step, and a good thing to consult politicians who told him that he is going to India as the representative of Pakistan."

Qazi Hussain Ahmed: "We have reposed full confidence and trust in President General Musharraf.  We stressed that India should accept Jammu and Kashmir as a disputed territory."

Mian Azhar: "All expressed the hope that the Indian leadership would realise the usefulness of a dialogue that could focus on a settlement of the Kashmir issue.  We have given President Musharraf the full mandate to talk to India as an ambassador of peace. We proposed that he should stick to Pakistan's stand on Kashmir, particularly the 1948 UN Resolutions.  Despite our differences with President Musharraf on political issues, the entire national leadership is behind him on this issue.  We demanded that the President should reconvene a similar meeting and invite those who had not attended today.  We told him to talk to India with the full confidence and support of the nation."

Imran Khan: "India should be forced to accept Jammu and Kashmir as a disputed territory, as a resolution of Kashmir would augur well for both the neighbouring South Asian nations.  I think relations with India can be improved if a peaceful solution to the dispute is found.  I also asked the General to hold similar consultative meetings with politicians on other economic and political matters.  The Government should lift the ban on political activities."

Elahi Bux Soomro: "It was a good beginning and this process should continue.  President Musharraf has not unfolded any agenda of talks with India, as the agenda of talks would be non-structured."

Asfandyar Wali Khan: " I told the General that my party felt fully vindicated that after 53 years, the military regime has decided to travel to India to discuss the Kashmir issue.

"Today I feel very happy that at least my father (Khan Abdul Wali Khan) and grandfather (the late Khan Abdul Ghaffar Khan) have been vindicated.  My family has been called traitors, Indian agents and sent to jail for their principled stand that Pakistan and India should sit and talk about the solution to the Kashmir issue.  Today it gives me great pleasure to see that the Generals are ready to proceed to India to talk with the elected leadership there, on how to solve the Kashmir issue.

"I told the General that I wanted to make this point clear that by coming to this meeting, it did not mean that I had parted ways with the ARD.  There is no problem between the ANP and the ARD and I will continue for the struggle for the restoration of democracy with the Alliance.

" I raised the issue of how there should have been an invitation to a cross section of the politicians since most had been represented in Parliament.  I pointed out to the General that politicians like Akbar Bugti, Sardar Mengal, Mehmud Achakzai and even the PML (N) had not been invited.  The first three represented the largest province in the country.

" I reminded the General that for 53 years only one option for solving the Kashmir issue had been tried.  I advocated that it is now time to try the method of dialogue.  The ANP has always said that one should go for dialogue before destruction.  I did not raise the Kargil operation.

"The best presentation came from Balochistan's Abdul Hayee Baloch, who made a powerful presentation, and was heard in pin drop silence.  It is healthy for the military leadership to listen for themselves to the grim realities that the people of the smaller provinces are suffering.  Also these people face the leaders of the day without any fear.

"I reminded the General that when Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto was leaving for the Shimla Conference and he came to Parliament to seek a vote of confidence, Khan Wali Khan told him that though he had no confidence in Bhutto, yet he was giving him a vote as he wanted relations between India and Pakistan to improve.

"On Wednesday it was the turn of the younger leadership to tell the General: Though I do not agree with any of your internal policies but I have come to this meeting because I feel that without the solution to Kashmir, Pakistan cannot take off economically."

Briefing pressmen on the ARD decision taken at its meeting on June 26 to boycott the all-party meeting convened by Musharraf, the Nawabzada stated as follows:

* Except for the Awami National Party, all other parties in the Alliance decided to join the boycott.

* Twelve out of the 16 parties in the Alliance were not invited at all.  The PML had clarified that Wasim Sajjad and Illahi Bux Soomro, though invited, would not be representing the party even if they participated

* Invitations had been extended to various political leaders in their individual capacity to 'fragment' the ARD.

* Ghulam Ahmed Bilour, of the ANP, explaining his party's decision to attend the meeting with Musharraf, said only a military government in Pakistan and a BJP-led 'fundamentalist' government in India could solve the Kashmir dispute.  The dispute, according to the ANP, could not be settled by any political government in Pakistan.  The ANP felt that unless the Kashmir issue was settled, military interventions in Pakistan's domestic politics would not end.

* The ARD was not opposed to talks between Pakistan and India.  It wanted a solution to the Kashmir problem so that any chance of a fight between the two nuclear powers could be averted.  But for talks to be successful, the Nawabzada said, a conducive atmosphere was necessary which was not prevailing at the moment.  In this regard, he cited the statements of the Indian Prime Minister and some other Ministers that Kashmir was an integral part of India.

At its meeting on June 26, the ARD also, through an unanimous resolution, rejected the assumption of presidency by Musharraf and pointed out that the Constitution had ceased to exist and that the parliamentary system had been illegally converted into a unitary form of governance.

The resolution added that neither the Supreme Court (SC) nor the National Reconstruction Bureau had the mandate to amend the Constitution; only the elected Parliament had that power.  It described Musharraf's self-elevation as the President as unconstitutional and expressed its surprise over the presence of SC judges at the ceremony and the administering of the oath by Chief Justice Irshad Hasan Khan.

In a statement issued on June 26, Maulana Fazlur Rehman said: "We propose that all guns, both of the Indian Army and the Mujahideen, be muted for sometime; Line of Control (LoC) be softened to allow Kashmiris meet freely; and that General Musharraf and Vajpayee should not become prisoners of past."

An unidentified senior official of the Foreign Office was quoted as reacting as follows to the Maulana's statement: "The Kashmiri Muhjahideen are reacting to the repression by the Indian forces and fighting a struggle for their freedom.  You cannot equate the fighting by the Mujahideen and that by the Indian forces."

The Maulana described the forthcoming summit meeting at Agra as a "sensitive step towards a peaceful solution of the Kashmir dispute," and added that all sides should give it a chance.  He said he appreciated the reported Hurriyat decision to call off strikes and protests before the summit and urged India and the militant outfits to do the same.  "No doubt, Kashmir should be given the top priority in the dialogue process; all other areas of confrontation such as the arms race and Siachen, and areas of mutually beneficial cooperation, like trade and the gas/oil pipeline should also be given due attention with an open mind," he added.

His appeal was vehemently rejected by the Lashkar-e-Toiba (LET) on the ground that this would betray the memory of all those killed in J & K.  It said that the "jihad" would continue till India withdrew its forces from Kashmir and added that the Maulana had no authority to issue such an appeal.

The Maulana has been adopting a moderate posture ever since the visit of some Deobandi leaders from India to attend a Deobandi conference in Peshawar in April.  The Harkat-ul-Mujahideen (HUM), which is close to the Maulana, has also been significantly muted in its reactions to the summit.  The Al Badr, formerly close to the JEI and now to the Maulana, has also been restrained in its reactions.  These two jihadi organisations have not been as virulent as the LET.

On June 27, Maulana Shah Ahmed Noorani of the JUP, Qazi Hussain Ahmed of the JEI, Maulana Fazlur Rehman of the JUI (F), Maulana Sami-ul-Haq of the JUI(S), Allama Sajid Naqvi of the TJP and Professor Sajid Mir of Jamiat Ahle Haidth, met separately under the presidentship of Noorani and expressed their resolve to work jointly for the independence, solidarity, security and Islamic identity of Pakistan and "to struggle for the establishment of real Islamic democracy in Pakistan."

A resolution adopted by them said: " Islam is the basis of Pakistan.  On the basis of Islam, the 1973 constitution of Pakistan guarantees the establishment of parliamentary democracy and a federal system of government in the country.  The six parties are committed to seek the restoration of the Constitution.  Besides, they want to establish an Islamic society guaranteeing the independence of the people, religious values, culture, civilization, economic justice and prosperity in the confines of Quran and Sunnah, guidelines given in the Constitution and the recommendations of the Council of Islamic Ideology.

"The leaders of the religious parties declare the formation of a "Muttahida Majlis Amal" [Joint Action Committee] which would take all the decisions with consensus.  Besides holding meetings, it will take a joint position on various religious and political issues cropping up from time to time.

"The JAC platform would also work for the sectarian harmony in the country thus enabling the religious-political forces to thwart the onslaught of secular elements and focus their attention on creating an Islamic order in the country.

"The religious parties categorically reiterate the principled and national stance on Kashmir issue.  Kashmir is the top most contentious issue between India and Pakistan.

"They believe that a lasting settlement between the two countries is not possible without the solution of the Kashmir issue.  The people of Jammu and Kashmir could better decide their fate freely in accordance with the UN resolutions.

"The prime objective of the Indo-Pak talks should be aimed at seeking recognition of the contentious status of Jammu & Kashmir and ensuring the right of self-determination for the people of Jammu & Kashmir under the UN resolutions."

Addressing a convention of local councillors at Jamia Tafheemul Quran Mardan in the North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) on June 24, Qazi Hussain Ahmed said "Someone becoming President on the basis of the might of stick has got no constitutional bearings nor does he hold any public support and backing.  Assuming the office of President by General Musharaf was a blatant violation of the Constitution and law.  We do not recognize the General sahib as President.  We are for dialogue on Kashmir, but these talks could only bear positive fruits when New Delhi concedes Kashmir as a disputed territory and stops human rights violations in the Indian Held Valley."

Despite repeated denials by Musharraf himself that any track II or back channel diplomacy through US intermediary had brought about the summit, there has been persistent speculation in Islamabad that India's invitation was preceded by intensive informal consultations during which an understanding has already been reached on certain deescalation measures such as troop reduction on both sides of the Line of Control (LOC), a Pakistani commitment to prevent all illegal infiltration without specific reference to cross-border terrorism, reduction of violence on the ground, greater interaction between the Kashmiri leaders on the two sides, the strengthening of hot line communications, and the setting up of an Indo-Pak political mechanism (examples Jaswant Singh-Talbott talks series or the Bhutto-Swaran Singh talks) to maintain a sustained dialogue on the Kashmir issue etc.

Unidentified military sources have been briefing the media to refute speculation of differences amongst the Corps Commanders over the summit.  They have been quoted as claiming that all the Corps Commanders have extended full support to Musharraf and agreed that priority should be accorded to the economy by normalising relations with India.  They have also been cautioning that nobody should expect resolution of major problems during the summit.  "It will be a breakthrough if both the sides agree to continue talking." 

(The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. E-Mail: [email protected] )

 

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